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Cake day: August 24th, 2023

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  • The idea of don’t swerve for deer is very common and is taught in driving schools. If you’ve never heard it until today, well you were let down and today you learn. You don’t know dismiss it because you haven’t heard it.

    Swerving is dangerous and even if you think you can do it safely, having a deer appear while travelling at high speeds is risky, even more so at night.

    You’re supposed to slow down but stay in lane.

    The reason you’re supposed to swerve for things like Moose is because moose are big as fuck and tall, and if you hit one head on, you will cut the legs out from under it, and it’s massive body will roll through the windshield and crush you, killing you or causing massive bodily harm.

    This is from the Virginia DMV for example (emphasis mine). Them not having something about moose is actually bad as well.

    https://www.dmv.virginia.gov/sites/default/files/forms/dmv39d.pdf

    Deer/Large Animal Hazards Tens of thousands of crashes with deer, elk, and bears take place in Virginia each year, resulting in fatalities, injuries and costly vehicle damage. To avoid hitting a deer or other large animal:

    • Be alert at dusk and dawn especially in the fall.
    • Slow down if you see a large animal near or crossing the road. Large animals frequently travel in groups; there are likely others nearby.
    • Use the horn to scare the animal away.
    • If a collision with a deer or other animal is unavoidable, do not swerve. Brake firmly, stay in your lane, and come to a controlled stop.


  • There are a lot of scams out there pretending to be Musk. If you want to watch a SpaceX launch, there’s probably at least 1 scam youtube stream out there that looks legit with thousands of viewers and then turns into a scam before the launch.

    After all of the send me crypto and i’ll send double back… I find it hilarious that he’s now telling people to do things and he’ll pay them… and it’ll be even funnier when they realize they don’t get it and were scammed into giving him their info for no money.






  • Preventing engaging something in bad conditions is a lot easier than what do you do if the conditions suddenly happen.

    If it’s suddenly foggy it needs to be able to handle the situation well.

    Cameras/Lidar don’t work well in fog. Radar does, but it isn’t a primary sensor and can’t be driven on safely alone in any circumstance.

    So now you need to slow down (which humans will do) but also since the sensors are failing or insufficient, safely get out of the way of what might be other incoming vehicles behind you, or slow/stopped vehicles ahead of you.

    You could restrict hours the system can be engaged which will reduce the likely hood of certain events (e.g morning fog, or sunrise/sunset head on sun) but there’s still unpredictability.







  • Reusing f9, landing F9 on barge, and Stainless steel were his initiatives. The SS one was a particularly hard win for him with a lot of internal push back.

    Catching Starship on the chopsticks might have been an idea he heard outside of SpaceX, but that he then championed, again to a lot of internal push back, I’m not 100% about it being an external to spacex idea though.

    Edit clarity and below

    Those are just examples though. And I’m sure there are times as you suggest that people suggest a difficult idea that he then champions as well.

    That he can champion these radical things, his idea or not, is still the key point of his leadership that will be lost.

    For example, someone must have suggested they use a full-flow staged combustion fuel cycle for raptor. He had to sign off on that. No one had ever designed and flown a engine like this before. The russians came closest making one, but never flew it. The predecessor to this engine in the 60s or whenever, NASA didn’t even think it was physically possible to make until the Russians made it.



  • People really under estimate how important he is to SpaceX.

    Reusing f9 1st stage - His initiative

    Landing f9 on a barge - His initiative.

    Making Starship Stainless Steel - His initiative

    Catching Starship booster on chopsticks - His initiative.

    The list goes on and on.

    Without someone like him pushing for these radical things that everyone else thinks is impossible or a bad idea we wouldn’t recognize what SpaceX would be.

    Instead we have things like starliner which is a disaster, and blue origin which started before SpaceX and has never reached orbit.

    SpaceX would slowly transform back into ‘old space’ if he was forced out as there are very few people willing to take the risks he takes.

    Edit: and it’s even very possible that the wrong CEO takes SpaceX public too soon which would make all the risk taking and fail fast development cycle they use impossible. Think of the stock crashing when a test flight fails and the pressure from investors around that.